리스크 관리

Climate Risk Management

We assess the business impact of climate change by employing a range of climate scenarios. Utilizing the Net Zero Emissions by 2050 (NZE) scenario from the International Energy Agency (IEA) and the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) scenarios from the IPCC’s Sixth Assessment Report, we have identified both the risks and opportunities associated with climate change.
NZE Scenario
  • Outlines a roadmap to achieve global net zero emissions by 2050 and restrict global temperature rise to within 1.5°C by 2100.
  • Details changes in carbon pricing, energy mix, and production methods across major industries involved in the low-carbon transition process.
SSP Scenario
  • Building on the existing RCP scenario, it incorporates socioeconomic factors such as future population changes, economic development, and urbanization.
  • Highlights changes in the magnitude of global temperature rise and the capacity of socioeconomic systems to adapt to and mitigate climate change.

Transition Risks

Regulatory Tightening

Nations around the world are adopting diverse policy packages, such as the Green New Deal, to facilitate the low-carbon transition. They are also tightening regulations on carbon emissions through measures like the reduction in carbon emission allowances and the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM). As a result, carbon prices are anticipated to rise substantially. Companies that lag or fail in the GHG reduction trend may face increased carbon costs and diminished product sales competitiveness, likely leading to a decline in profitability.

Considering the potential risks associated with carbon costs, we are accelerating new low-carbon investment projects to bolster the execution capability of our 2050 carbon neutrality roadmap. For new investments anticipated to affect carbon emissions, we implement an internal carbon pricing system within the investment decision-making process. Additionally, to enhance our response capability to carbon trade regulations such as CBAM, we are establishing a system for calculating carbon emissions per product unit. Furthermore, to prepare for the anticipated global climate disclosure mandate within the next 1-2 years, we are strengthening our disclosure system by setting internal standards for various disclosure items, including climate change scenario analysis and the disclosure of Scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions.

Expansion of Low-Carbon Market and Technology Needs

With the growing demand for low-carbon steel products and technologies, automotive, machinery, and energy companies are increasingly requiring reductions in the carbon intensity of steel products. This is part of their Scope 3 management and their direct and indirect efforts to reduce GHG emissions.

Therefore, possessing the capacity to supply low-carbon steel is essential for maintaining market share and ensuring a sustainable growth driver. To achieve this, POSCO is committed to identifying economic and efficient carbon reduction methods, constructing new electric arc furnaces, and expanding scrap utilization technology in converters to establish production lines optimized for low-carbon products. In the long term, POSCO will continue to expand its supply of low-carbon steel, spearheaded by the development of hydrogen reduction ironmaking technology.

Reputational Risk

Negative issues, such as exaggerated promotion or lack of communication regarding low-carbon transition efforts, can lead to a loss of trust from stakeholders and a decline in corporate value. With heightened regulations on greenwashing both domestically and internationally, it is essential to exercise caution when promoting low-carbon, eco-friendly products and activities.

POSCO has formed a Greenwashing Review Committee, comprising in-house experts, to proactively prevent and monitor greenwashing risks. This committee reviews presentation materials to ensure accuracy and mitigate risks of brand value decline and potential legal litigation.
Additionally, we are working to effectively communicate our carbon neutrality efforts. We engage with a range of stakeholders through ESG Non-Deal Roadshows (NDR) for investors and ESG rating agencies, client invitation briefings, and community public hearings.

Financial Impact Analysis

To assess the financial impact of transition risks, we employed the S&P Global Carbon Price Risk Model to analyze policy and market risks. Policy risk evaluates how changes in future carbon prices, driven by carbon regulations and the company’s carbon reduction plans, affect POSCO’s profitability.

Market risk examines the financial impact of potential risks within POSCO’s value chain, such as the carbon risks faced by suppliers and customers, on POSCO’s future business activities. The findings from this analysis will be incorporated into our climate change response strategy to mitigate transition risks.

Comprehensive Business Impact and Response Status Due to Transition Risks in the Steel Industry

Risk Business Impact Response
Policy/Legal Risks Heightened regulations on GHG Emission trading system
  • Increased costs for emission allowances due to the reduction in free allocation quotas
  • Financial impact analysis and development of response measures in response to scenarios involving reduced free allocation quotas
  • Implementation of carbon neutrality and reduction technology development, and the introduction of high-efficiency production technology
  • Facilitation of low-carbon investment projects through the implementation of an internal carbon pricing system
Implementation of EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM)
  • Incurrence of carbon costs as a result of CBAM implementation
  • Formation of a CBAM response TF and establishment of a collaborative framework with EU entities
  • Establishment of a low-carbon production and sales system, including the operation of Gwangyang Electric Arc Furnace
Enhanced global climate disclosure requirements
  • Strengthened requirements for global climate disclosures, encompassing physical and transition risks, and Scope 3 emissions.
  • Conducting physical risk analysis and developing response measures for key domestic and international worksites.
  • Disclosing the impact analysis of transition risks and the current response status.
  • Enhancing the Scope 3 calculation system through the operation of dedicated working groups.
Market Risks Increased demand for low-carbon steel supply
  • Weakening of market competitiveness due to non-supply of low-carbon steel at the appropriate time
  • Production of low-carbon steel products using existing facilities like electric arc furnaces (mixing)
  • Conducting research projects on future demand and price forecasts for low carbon steel.
Increased demand for low-carbon raw materials
  • Intensifying competition to secure the supply chain for low-carbon steel raw materials
  • Development of hydrogen reduction ironmaking (HyREX) using fine iron ore as the primary raw material due to its easier availability
  • Securing the supply chain by establishing HBI (Hot Briquetted Iron) production facilities
Technology Risks Risks in the development process of hydrogen reduction ironmaking technology
  • Increasing demand for large-scale facility investments to develop and commercialize HyREX technology
  • Securing technology, workforce, and supply chain through over 20 years of FINEX* commercialization process
    * Developing HyREX technology based on FINEX fluidized bed reduction furnace technology
  • Establishing a foundation for implementation through tax benefits and other support due to its designation as a national strategic technology
Devaluation of existing blast furnace facilities
  • Existing blast furnace facilities becoming stranded assets due to the introduction of hydrogen reduction ironmaking
  • Development of low-carbon production technologies (bridge technologies) utilizing existing facilities like blast furnaces
Reputational Risks Reputational decline due to negative issues
  • Reputational decline resulting from inadequate issue management responses
  • Operation of communication channels with stakeholders through ESG NDR, client briefings, and community public hearings
Risk of greenwashing
  • Decline in brand value due to greenwashing-related litigation
  • Strengthening risk prevention and post-monitoring by operating the Greenwashing Review Committee

Physical Risks

To assess the resilience of the company against climate change, physical risks were measured and evaluated based on the SSP (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways) scenarios outlined in the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report.
Using the S&P Global Climanomics Methodology, we analyzed the asset value loss risk at five global worksites (Pohang Steelworks, Gwangyang Steelworks, PT KRAKATAU POSCO in Indonesia, POSCO Zhangjiagang Pohang Stainless Steel in China, and POSCO YAMATO VINA in Vietnam) due to eight factors: extreme temperature, drought, wildfire, water stress, coastal flooding, fluvial flooding, typhoon, and pluvial flooding. The results indicated that four factors—extreme temperature, drought, coastal flooding, and fluvial flooding—pose significant risks. The analysis model particularly identified abnormal temperature as the most critical physical risk due to projected global temperature increases resulting from climate change.
Physical Risk Analysis Results
Category Coastal Flooding River Flooding Abnormal Temperature Drought
Pohang Steelworks Less than 1% Less than 1% 1 to 10% Less than 1%
Gwangyang Steelworks Less than 1% Less than 1% 1 to 10% Less than 1%
PT KRAKATAU POSCO (Indonesia) Less than 1% Less than 1% 1 to 10% Less than 1%
POSCO Zhangjiagang Pohang Stainless Steel (China) Less than 1% Less than 1% 1 to 10% Less than 1%
POSCO YAMATO VINA (Vietnam) Less than 1% Less than 1% 1 to 10% Less than 1%
Physical Risk Response Activities

To prevent natural disasters and minimize their post-impact effects, POSCO has established and operates a comprehensive Business Continuity Plan (BCP). This plan encompasses natural disaster prevention, damage recovery, alternative production, and market protection strategies. The BCP classifies disasters into natural disasters—such as typhoons and heavy rain, heavy snow and cold waves, earthquakes and tsunamis, droughts (water shortages), and lightning—and social disasters, including explosions and fires. The BCP employs a four-stage management system: prevention, preparation, response, and recovery.

In the prevention stage, inspection items defined in the checklists for each type of disaster are periodically reviewed, and any deficiencies are promptly remediated. During the preparation stage, starting one week before the anticipated disaster occurrence, weather forecasts are closely monitored, and inspection activities such as securing emergency equipment and materials are initiated. In the response and recovery stage, alerts are issued, and the disaster headquarters and recovery organization are activated to quickly recover from the damage and ensure business continuity. When a disaster occurs, the recovery activities are detailed across ten stages, from disaster declaration to recovery completion.

BCP 10 Steps

Step 1 Disaster Declaration

Confirm the extent of damage and operate the situation room

Step 2 Damage Investigation

Conduct detailed damage investigations by each department

Assess damage to production facilities, infrastructure, materials, products, raw materials, etc.

Step 3 Establishing Recovery Plan

Develop recovery methods, priorities, procurement plans, and recovery processes

Step 4 Securing Recovery Resources

Secure recovery personnel, equipment, materials, welfare, and budget

Mobilize directly managed companies, partners, and group companies, and secure civil, government, and military support

Step 5 Alternative Production

Implement parallel production at Pohang and Gwangyang Steelworks and overseas subsidiaries

Step 6 Sharing Updates

Share recovery process and normalization plans with external parties

Inform government, National Assembly, local communities, media, etc.

Step 7 Recovery Execution

Execute recovery work on facilities, systems, and infrastructure

Ensure safety as the top priority in cooperation with partners, group companies, and contractors

Step 8 Process Management

Monitor progress and issues related to recovery and production

Step 9 Test Run

Conduct test runs of restored plants

Step 10 Settlement

Settle emergency recovery costs, file insurance claims, and perform accounting

POSCO, prompted by the flood damage at Pohang Steelworks caused by the Naengcheon Stream flooding in 2022, is enhancing its efforts to mitigate physical risks at key domestic and international worksites. This includes installing flood barriers and panels, and reinforcing drainage systems for production facilities. At Pohang Steelworks, to prevent coastal flooding risks from tsunamis, 2.3 km of retaining walls have been installed at the raw material pier, and the breakwater has been reinforced. Furthermore, to prepare for extreme heat during the summer, the efficiency of the plant’s cooling system has been improved, and measures to ensure worker safety and health have been strengthened.
Physical Risk Response Status at Key Domestic and International worksites
Pohang Steelworks
  • Installed a 2.3 km retaining wall at the raw material pier and reinforced coastal facilities2) and breakwaters3) in tsunami vulnerable sections
  • Installed floodgates and flood barriers at 1,853 flood vulnerable sites and critical facilities
  • Reinforced external flood barriers (1.9 km) and the Naengcheon stream embankment (1.7 km)
  • Developed a CCTV-based drainage monitoring management system with water level measurement gauges and improved the drainage system
  • Equipped with large engine pumps for emergency response during flooding
Gwangyang Steelworks
  • Installed floodgates and flood barriers at 662 low-lying vulnerable sites in ironmaking and rolling mill areas
  • Developed a drainage management system and improved the drainage system
  • Equipped with large engine pumps for emergency response during flooding
PT KRAKATAU POSCO (Indonesia)
  • Constructed drainage facilities and maintained drainage systems considering maximum daily rainfall
  • Installed floodgates and flood barriers at 96 critical facilities, including electrical rooms and ironmaking substations
POSCO YAMATO VINA (Vietnam)
  • Located critical facilities, including electric arc furnaces, refining, continuous casting, rolling equipment, and electrical rooms, on the 2nd to 3rd floors to prepare for coastal flooding
  • Conducted drainage expansion construction near the port pier and product warehouse (March to October 2023) and implemented port dredging construction (once every two years)

2)Installation of protective facilities to prevent erosion at the boundary sections of rivers, coasts, and dykes

3)Construction of breakwaters offshore to reduce wave impact

Just Transition

We acknowledge the impact that changes in facilities and processes during the transition to low-carbon processes have on employees and the local community. To facilitate smooth adaptation and participation of stakeholders, we are promoting a just transition through active communication.
Employees

Following the 2050 Carbon Neutrality Roadmap, we are formulating and gradually executing a workforce transition plan. For the Gwangyang EAF, we have devised a recruitment plan from the facility investment stage to hire production and technical staff with experience and expertise in electric arc furnace operations. We will build their capabilities through pre-job training.

Furthermore, since POSCO’s proprietary hydrogen reduction ironmaking process, HyREX, is based on the already implemented FINEX technology, the workforce transition requirement is minimal compared to other steel companies. This offers the advantage of utilizing accumulated know-how. As the equipment transition progresses, we plan to conduct voluntary reskilling training for employees in departments expected to downsize or close, facilitating their reassignment to other roles. Additionally, ‘Technical Research Laboratories’ in POSCO and the POSCO Group University, a specialized training company, will collaborate to develop training programs for cultivating skilled technicians. We will also actively communicate about the job transition process through the employee representative body and various channels.

Local Community

From its founding, POSCO has regarded growing alongside the local community as a crucial social responsibility. The company prioritizes Pohang, Gwangyang, and the Seoul/Incheon areas, where POSCO Group’s worksites are located, collaborating with local residents to address various social issues. This approach aims to present a model of mutual development for both the company and society. During the low-carbon transition process, POSCO recognizes the local community as key stakeholders, objectively reviewing the environmental and social impacts on the community and incorporating these impacts into its decision-making process.

Additionally, we are committed to promoting a fair transition by sharing the reviewed content with local residents and experts through various communication channels and undergoing a thorough feedback collection process. For the permit process necessary for the ‘hydrogen reduction ironmaking site development,’ critical to achieving carbon neutrality, we conducted seven separate briefings and two joint briefings with residents from nearby areas such as Songdo-dong, Haedo-dong, and Cheongrim-dong starting in May 2023. These sessions included the disclosure of the Environmental Impact Assessment Report and the Traffic Impact Assessment Report, and we gathered resident feedback. Furthermore, we organized a public hearing for the land development project, facilitating in-depth discussions on the impacts on seagrass habitats and the coastline. Through active communication with stakeholders, we aim to build sufficient consensus.

Opportunity Factors

The NZE scenario indicates that steel demand will continue to rise until 2050 driven by population growth, urbanization, and infrastructure expansion. However, as we strive for carbon neutrality, factors such as improved energy efficiency, material lightening, enhanced durability, and changes in consumption patterns are expected to somewhat offset the increase in steel demand. POSCO intends to elevate its production capabilities for high-strength lightweight products, premium electrical steel sheets, and other critical products for a future low-carbon society. This strategy aims to expand POSCO’s market share in high-value sectors and sustain its world-class competitiveness.

The growth of the electric vehicle (EV) market presents significant opportunities for POSCO. According to the NZE scenario, by 2030, EVs will constitute 60% of global vehicle sales, and by 2050, all vehicles are projected to be either battery electric vehicles (BEVs) or fuel cell vehicles (FCVs). As EV production increases, the demand for ultra-high-strength steel, necessary for extending driving range, and high-efficiency electrical steel sheets, crucial for enhancing the energy efficiency of drive motors, is expected to rise. We are actively developing and expanding sales of next-generation automotive steel sheets like ‘Giga Steel.’ To meet the growing demand for non-oriented electrical steel sheets, essential for EV drive motors, we have invested around 1 trillion KRW in the Gwangyang Steelworks to establish a non-oriented electrical steel sheet plant. This investment aims to expand our market share in premium electrical steel sheets, positioning us as a global leader. Furthermore, we are enhancing our supply capabilities for products with improved corrosion resistance and fatigue performance, which are vital for extending the lifespan and stability of solar and wind energy structures, recognized as key future energy sources.

Starting in 2023, POSCO has been actively promoting its low-carbon products to domestic and international customers at the forefront of carbon neutrality. By June 2024, 13 companies, including automotive and wind tower manufacturers, have signed memorandums of understanding (MOUs) with POSCO for the supply of low-carbon steel, with a projected supply volume of 3.7 million tons by 2030.

Key Findings
Opportunity Business Impact Response
Products
&
Services
Growing demand for high-strength, high-efficiency products
  • As demand for low-carbon industries, such as EVs and renewable energy, continues to grow, the sales of high-value products, including high-strength lightweight products and high-efficiency products, are increasing.
  • Expanding production of ultra-high-strength steel (Giga Steel) and premium Hyper NO4) (Non-Oriented Electrical Steel) through new plant construction
  • Enhancing sales management and marketing for low-carbon eco-friendly products
Providing low-carbon production process solutions
  • Offering proprietary technology solutions for global steelmakers transitioning to low-carbon production processes
  • Using hydrogen fluidized bed reduction furnace and ESF5) technology as a basis for accelerating the development of proprietary HyREX6) technology

4)Hyper NO: Non-Oriented Electrical Steel

5)ESF: Electric Smelting Furnace

6)HyREX: Hydrogen Reduction